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A check-in on the public mood of Canadians with CTV News' pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle.
1 day ago
Will U.S. border closure slow Canada's economic recovery from COVID-19?
CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the government's historic fiscal snapshot that revealed a projected deficit in the hundreds of billions; why an overwhelming majority of Canadians want to keep the border closed; and latest numbers that show just how divided we are when it comes to how to fix systemic racism in the RCMP.
Jun 26, 2020
A 'roller coaster' of COVID-19 concern
CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how concern over the coronavirus is fluctuating in Canada; what strong Liberal numbers mean for a possible early election call; and Nik makes a prediction on how collaborative the government will be over the next few months.
Jun 12, 2020
Mixed messages on COVID-19: Will it burn up earned political capital?
Guest host Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the calls for politicians to go beyond “pretty words” when it comes to anti-Black racism; if mixed messaging will undo the goodwill political leaders earned during the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic; and the hesitations Canadians still have to reopening the border.
May 29, 2020
Why Trudeau may not cool it with the COVID-19 pressers
CTV News' Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss why Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may keep up his regular COVID-19 press conferences and if the coronavirus is still a top concern for Canadians. Also, did someone say Stephen Harper?
May 14, 2020
Resounding consensus on U.S. border, economic concerns rebounding
Nik and Michael discuss where Canadians stand on the U.S. border; and how the economy is rebounding as a top concern. Want to see the data? You can watch Trend Line on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLLzHOgGvydCmsZNyECKYu2uhESwTTz1Rs
May 1, 2020
Consumer confidence has 'fallen off a cliff'
Nik and Michael discuss how COVID-19 is impacting consumer confidence and why some Conservative critiques of the federal government’s response might not be resonating with Canadians.
Mar 13, 2020
Don't panic amid a 'toxic cocktail of anxiety'
Nik and Michael talk about the ‘toxic cocktail of anxiety’ in Canada with the COVID-19 pandemic, market turmoil and how the federal government can ease Western alienation. Note: This episode was recorded on Thursday, March 12.
Feb 25, 2020
Trudeau caught between promises and pipelines
Nik and Michael discuss a study on how Canadians view using taxpayer money to buy Trans Mountain and how the Trudeau government has responded to blockades supporting the Wet’suwet’en Nation. Also, the Conservatives are gaining in the polls as they choose their new leader.
Feb 7, 2020
13-year study: How does Trudeau stack up so far against Harper?
Nik and Michael discuss a tracking study on how Canadians are feeling about the government. And it's not good news lately for the Libs. Also, Nik reacts after Peter MacKay’s communications team abruptly ends an interview with CTV News.
Jan 23, 2020
Battle for the "heart and soul" of the Conservative party and new year, new look for the Liberal leader
Jan. 23: Nik and Michael discuss the Conservative leadership race, and why some candidates have already begun dropping out. And what's in a beard? Nik weight in on why it's of note when a prime minister sprouts facial hair. Shortly after recording this episode Rona Ambrose announced that she would not be entering the Conservative leadership race. You can see more on her announcement here: http://ctv.news/YkE1e0C
Dec 6, 2019
The throne speech that will take your breath away (and not how you think)
Dec. 6: Nik and Michael break down the throne speech and take a look at what the preferred PM numbers say about Andrew Scheer's precarious position as the leader of the Conservative party. Plus, Nik reacts to the latest overseas "communications malfunction" from PM Trudeau. Also, this episode will be the final one of the season. We'll be back in 2020!
Nov 20, 2019
Cabinet shakeup: Trudeau looks for Alberta connection
Nik and Michael discuss how the Liberals have dug deep within their talent pool to form a new federal cabinet and whether the shuffle will be enough to heal some of the divisions in the country. Also, Nik gets into what may be behind the promotion of several MPs from Quebec.
Nov 6, 2019
Not the victory the Conservatives would have hoped for
We're back! Nik and Michael discuss the fallout from the federal election and take a look at the criticisms of Andrew Scheer's campaign. Also, reaction to May's resignation and the future of the Green Party.
Oct 22, 2019
Behind the scenes at CTV News with Trend Line
Nik and Michael take you behind the scenes of CTV News' coverage of the 2019 federal election.
Oct 21, 2019
What the final numbers tell us before voting day
Oct. 21: Nik and Michael discuss the final survey before election day and if the deadlock means a minority government is all but certain. Also, Nik discusses his winners and losers of the campaign. Note: The numbers discussed in this episode are from a survey conducted and released on Oct. 20, 2019.
Oct 18, 2019
How strategic voting, vote splits and B.C. will factor on Oct. 21
Oct. 18: Michael and Nik discuss the possibility of a minority government and if strategic voting will be a factor in Monday’s vote. Also, Nik puts on his political hard hat to review how the NDP, Greens and Bloc might act in a minority parliament. Note: While discussing minority governments and federal elections in the 2000s, Nik mentions 2010. There was no federal election in 2010, but there was a minority Conservative government at the time. The next federal election was in 2011, which gave the Conservatives under Stephen Harper a majority government.
Oct 16, 2019
Latest Ontario, Quebec numbers; who benefits from record advance polling turnout
Oct. 16: Nik and Michael discuss the record number of Canadians that voted in the advanced polls and the latest numbers from Ontario and Quebec. For the takeaway, Nik tried to pick who is going to win the election.
Oct 14, 2019
Singh surge and if we’re headed for a ‘weak' minority government
Oct. 7: Nik and Michael discuss what’s driving the ‘Singh surge’ and if it will translate into more NDP MPs. Also, Nik discusses what the Commons would look like if the election were held today. For more election coverage, go to election.ctvnews.ca.
Oct 11, 2019
Dozens of ridings ‘too close to call’ heading into Thanksgiving weekend
Nik and Michael discuss the number of ridings that are too close to call and if party platforms will have an impact in this election. Also, is there anything the leading parties can do to break this tie? Look for a new episode on Monday after Nik takes a look at the numbers that came in over Thanksgiving weekend.
Oct 9, 2019
Why Singh won the debate but the NDP may have lost it
Nik and Michael discuss the fallout from the English-language leaders’ debate and how NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh’s brand may have been the victor. Note: Nik refers to the debate as last night, but it was of course on Oct. 7. This episode was recorded on Oct. 9.
Oct 7, 2019
Debate night: What to expect in a ‘target-rich environment’
Nik and Michael discuss ‘knock-out’ punches, the impact of debates and what Canadians might be looking for from the leaders. Also, Nik looks at where each leader will be focusing their attention.
Oct 4, 2019
Storm clouds for Conservatives in Ontario; how voters react to campaign 'bickering'
Nik and Michael discuss the storm clouds that are on the horizon in Ontario and how voters might be reacting to secondary issues on the campaign trail. Also, where did all the Green support go? This episode was recorded on the morning of Oct. 4.
Oct 2, 2019
Election's "a bad hockey game", Que. on and off the island of Montreal
Nik and Michael answer a question from a CTV News viewer and discuss why the best analogy for this election may be a bad hockey game. Also, Nik drills down into the latest polling from Quebec.
Sep 30, 2019
Greta effect: Young voters leave Trudeau, record high for Greens
Nik and Michael discuss the record support for the Green Party and who's feeling the 'Greta effect' on the campaign trail.
Sep 27, 2019
Is the 905 'unwinding' for the Liberals?
Nik and Michael discuss the latest numbers, the party leaders attending climate protests and the new polling results from Ontario. This episode was recorded in the morning on Sept. 27.
Sep 25, 2019
Gripped in a tie, interim report card on the campaigns
Nik and Michael discuss why votes for the Bloc Quebecois could decide who forms the next government. We're also two weeks into the election — time for an interim report card!
Sep 23, 2019
Race tightens after brownface images, polling in Ontario’s ‘three provinces’
Michael and Nik discuss the latest fallout from Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau’s brownface and blackface images, why it was an interesting weekend for several parties and why we can think of Ontario as ‘three provinces’ when it comes to the polling numbers.
Sep 20, 2019
No drop so far in Liberal support, regional numbers get interesting
Nik and Michael discuss how the controversy over racist images of Justin Trudeau is showing up in the polls and some of the regional races that are heating up. Nik also explains what is actually happening when NDP and Green support goes down and Conservative support goes up.
Sep 18, 2019
One-two punch for the Tories, political rope-a-dope from the Liberals
Nik and Michael discuss the latest tracking numbers, where the support for the Conservatives might be coming from and if the Liberal campaign is using a rope-a-dope strategy.
Sep 16, 2019
Conservatives rise to statistical tie with Liberals
Michael and Nik take a look at the daily Nanos tracking numbers and discuss where the Conservatives may have gained support to pull ahead of the Liberals in a statistical tie. You can find Nik's daily tracking numbers at www.ctvnews.ca and http://www.nanos.co.
Sep 12, 2019
Campaign glitches, lifeline to the Bloc and don’t count out the NDP
Nik and Michael discuss the start of the campaign, why the NDP’s communication strategy may be on point and how Bill 21 could serve as a lifeline for the Bloc Quebecois. Daily tracking numbers come out Saturday, Sept. 14. See them on ctvnews.ca or nanos.co
Sep 4, 2019
Buckle up! We take you on a polling road trip across Canada
Nik and Michael go on a cross-country tour to see where each party stands. Also, Nik explains why Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer may become a familiar face in the 905 and why B.C. may keep us up late on election night. This episode was recorded on September 3.
Aug 21, 2019
Election fortune telling and is the damage already done on SNC?
Nik and Michael discuss the political fallout from a bombshell report from the ethics commissioner and what it will mean in October. Also, does this situation seem somewhat familiar? We dust off the archive tape to discuss the impact of an RCMP report from 2006 that may have helped turn the tide for the Conservatives.
Jul 25, 2019
Joyless prosperity across Canada and what it could mean in October
Michael and Nik discuss a survey that illuminates the negative sentiment felt across the country towards the federal government; Nik makes an election strategy prediction; and will the Greens benefit from the pessimism? Take that boomers! Correction note: The podcast cites a 20-point difference for anger sentiment numbers when comparing the Prairies to the rest of Canada. The difference is actually 14 percentage points.
Jul 15, 2019
Liberals are back in the game and ready to run on… carbon pricing?
Nik and Michael discuss what’s driving the change in the federal Liberal polling numbers, and a survey that shows Canadians want the government to explore diplomacy to ease tensions with China. Also, what you should think about when looking at surveys. How can you trust them?
Jul 11, 2019
Introducing Trend Line from CTV News
Trend Line, a new podcast from CTV News, will be publishing once every two weeks in the summer and three times a week during the upcoming federal election. Subscribe now!