The Breakdown
Bull vs. Bear: Who Has the Economy Right?
Jun 24, 2020 · 24 min
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The economy is nothing if not confounding right now. 

Across every domain, from real estate to oil to retail, there are bull signals and bear signals. 

In this episode, NLW looks at those signals in the following areas:

  • Markets - strong stock recovery vs. growth in cash deposits
  • Employment - growth in jobs vs. persistent continuing jobless claims
  • Retail - growth in foot traffic vs. demand destruction
  • Oil - growth in demand (but not in economically productive diesel)
  • Real estate - surge in mortgage applications vs. worst home sales since 2010
  • Dollar - declining confidence vs. there is no alternative 
  • COVID-19 - reduced death rates in the U.S. vs. growing caseload

What’s the answer? Is this just a narrative mirage recovery? Listen and find out.

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