The Long View
The Long View
Sep 9, 2020
Steve Vernon: 'Older Workers Become Targets' in Tough Economic Environments
Play • 46 min

Our guest on the podcast is retirement specialist and author Steve Vernon. Vernon is president of Rest-of-Life Communications and a research scholar at the Stanford Center on Longevity, where he conducts and directs research on retirement planning and behavioral economics. He is also the author of several books on retirement planning, including his latest, Don't Go Broke in Retirement and Retirement Game-Changers. In addition, Vernon writes a regular column on retirement planning for Forbes. He previously helped large employers design and manage their retirement programs. Vernon retired as vice president and consulting actuary with the human resources consulting firm Watson Wyatt Worldwide and also consulted to Mercer. He graduated from the University of California at Irvine with a double major in mathematics and social science.

Background

Steve Vernon bio

Stanford Center on Longevity

Steve Vernon books

Forbes column

The Role of Work

"The Question Many Pre-Retirees and Retirees Will Need to Answer," by Steve Vernon, Forbes, Aug. 25, 2020.

"Redesigning Retirement and Human Resource Programs to Support Longer Lives," by Steve Vernon, Stanford Center on Longevity, third-quarter 2019.

"How To Find Work (After Retirement)," by Steve Vernon, CBSNews.com, March 27, 2013.

"Good News for Older Workers Seeking New Careers," by Steve Vernon, CBSNews.com, April 27, 2015.

Encore career definition

Social Security Program Health

"The 2020 OASDI Trustees Report," Social Security Administration, April 22, 2020.

"No, You Won't Lose All of Your Social "Security Benefits," by Steve Vernon, Forbes, April 22, 2020.

Social Security Claiming Strategies

"Boost Your Risk-Protected Retirement Income With a Social Security Bridge Payment," by Steve Vernon, Forbes, May 26, 2020.

"Does Delaying Social Security Really Deliver an 8% Return?" by Christine Benz, Morningstar.com, May 14, 2020.

"When to Take Social Security: The Complete Guide," by Amy Fontinelle, Investopedia.com, Nov. 24, 2019.

 "Introducing the Social Security Claiming Decision," by Wade Pfau, Retirement Researcher.

"How the Retirement Estimator Works," Social Security Administration.

Open Social Security

"How to Calculate the Break-Even Age for Taking Social Security," by Ken Moraif, Kiplinger, April 7, 2020.

Retiree Investment Portfolio/Holistic Retirement Income Planning

"A Portfolio Approach to Retirement Income Security," by Steve Vernon, Stanford Center on Longevity, July 2015.

"How Much Should Older Workers and Retirees Invest in the Stock Market?" by Steve Vernon, Forbes, March 3, 2020.

"Here's a Foolproof Way To Create Retirement Income for the Rest of Your Life," by Darla Mercado, CNBC.com, June 26, 2020.

"Stanford Analyzed 292 Retirement Strategies to Determine the Best One--Here's How It Works," by Kathleen Elkins, CNBC.com, Aug. 6, 2019.

Housing

"Don't Make This Costly Retirement Planning Mistake," by Steve Vernon, Forbes, June 11, 2020.

"Planning Your Retirement: 10 Ways to Reduce Housing Costs," by Steve Vernon, CBSNews.com, Sept. 4, 2013.

"How Covid-19 Will Shape the Future of Senior Living. New Models of Care, More Aging in Place," by Reshma Kapadia, Barron's, May 29, 2020.

Longevity/Mitigating Longevity Risk

"Rich People Don't Just Live Longer. They Also Get More Healthy Years," by Heather Murphy, The New York Times, Jan. 16, 2020.

The Risk of Outliving Your Assets Is Real And Defending Against It Is No Small Task," by Martin Pelletier, Financial Post, June 17, 2019.

Bogleheads On Investing Podcast
Bogleheads On Investing Podcast
bogleheads
Episode 029: Frazer Rice, host Rick Ferri
Frazer Rice is the author of “Wealth, Actually: Intelligent Decision-Making for the 1%”, host of the “Wealth, Actually” podcast, creator of the "Wealth, Actually" blog, and a Northeast Regional Director for Pendleton Square Trust Company. Frazer is an attorney and experienced trust officer. His wealth management career has included serving for over 15 years as a Managing Director at Wilmington Trust Company. We cover a lot of ground in this episode including estate planning, reasons for using trusts, selecting trustees, family dynamics, investing for 1%'ers, and much more! This podcast is hosted by Rick Ferri, CFA, a long-time Boglehead and investment adviser. The Bogleheads are a group of like-minded individual investors who follow the general investment and business beliefs of John C. Bogle, founder and former CEO of the Vanguard Group. It is a conflict-free community where individual investors reach out and provide education, assistance, and relevant information to other investors of all experience levels at no cost. The organization supports a free website at Bogleheads.org, and the wiki site is Bogleheads® wiki. Since 2000, the Bogleheads' have held national conferences in major cities around the country. There are also many Local Chapters in the US and even a few Foreign Chapters that meet regularly. New Chapters are being added on a regular basis. All Bogleheads activities are coordinated by volunteers who contribute their time and talent. This podcast is supported by the John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy, a non-profit organization approved by the IRS as a 501(c)(3) public charity on February 6, 2012. Your tax-deductible donation to the Bogle Center is appreciated.
1 hr
Money For the Rest of Us
Money For the Rest of Us
J. David Stein
Is Student Loan Forgiveness A Good Idea?
Should the U.S. cancel $10,000 or more of student loan debt per borrower? What would be the economic and financial impact? Why the student loan system is broken and how to fix it. Topics covered include: * How large and what is the growth rate of U.S. student loan balances * What are the projections for student loan losses * What are the pros and cons of forgiving student loans * What would be the impact on federal finances of canceling student loans * Why the U.S. government is already technically insolvent * How student loan programs should be restructured Thanks to LinkedIn and Policygenius for sponsoring the episode. Show Notes Student Loans Owned and Securitized, Outstanding—Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louise Senate majority gives Biden path to student loan forgiveness by Sylvan Lane—The Hill Schumer pressures Biden to bypass Congress to cancel $50,000 in student debt per borrower by Annie Nova—CNBC Biden will call on Congress to forgive $10,000 in student debt for all borrowers by Annie Nova—CNBC Outreach From Borrowers Could Overwhelm Student Loan System When Pandemic Pauses End by: Sarah Sattelmeyer and Lexi West—PEW Financial Report of the United States Government FY 2019 Warren makes case to Fed chair for canceling student loan debt by Naomi Jagoda—The Hill Student Loan Losses Seen Costing U.S. More Than $400 Billion by Josh Mitchell—The Wall Street Journal Final Monthly Treasury Statement Receipts and Outlays of the United States Government For Fiscal Year 2020 Through September 30, 2020, and Other Periods—U.S. Department of the Treasury Average Student Loan Debt at Graduation by Mark Kantrowitz—Savingforcollege.com Profile Of The Labor Force By Educational Attainment by Vernon Brundage, Jr.—U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Millennial life: How young adulthood today compares with prior generations by Kristen Bialkin and Richard Fry—PEW Research Center Forgiving Student Debt Isn’t a Great Stimulus Plan by Noah Smith—Bloomberg Average annual salary of bachelor's degree recipients employed full time 1 year after graduation, by field of study: Selected years, 1976 through 2001—National Center for Education Statistics NACE Salary Survey Winter 2020—National Associations of Colleges and Employers Australia’s student loan problem is a teachable moment for the U.S. by Jason Delisle and Alex Usher—Brookings
24 min
Sound Investing
Sound Investing
Paul Merriman
How do you invest in retirement when interest rates are so low? And 7 other important questions.
Paul introduces Don McDonald, Co-Founder of  Vestory Investment Advisory and co-host of "Talking Real Money" podcast, who will be producing “money minutes” for most of our podcasts. Don also produced the soon-to-be-released audio version for our latest book, We’re Talking Millions!. Paul discusses the upcoming Retiremeet America 2021 free online conference on Feb. 20, 8:00 a.m.-1:00 p.m. PT. See the list of speakers, topics, speaking times and registration form at https://retiremeet.com  Paul and David Booth, Co-Founder of Dimensional Fund Advisors, are keynoting the conference. Before addressing the Q&A's Paul discusses an article, “Deep Risk in the United States of America,” by Ben Carlson. Ben is on Paul’s list of Truth Tellers and highly recommends Ben's articles and podcasts at https://awealthofcommonsense.com/. * Larry motivates Paul to discuss the question: What changes should a pre-retiree make to their portfolio when they have saved enough to retire, even though they are planning to work longer? 19:00 * What asset allocation should I have when I reach retirement but don’t need the money to live on? 23:40 * How would you suggest someone who is currently in cash get back into the market? 31:22 Don McDonald’s “Talking Real Money” — The risks in owning bonds * With bond yields so low do you expect retirement returns to be significantly lower than in your tables?  38:57 * In a recent newsletter we mentioned a presentation by Barry Schwartz, author of The Paradox of Choice. The focus of the presentation was what happens when people are offered too many choices. We linked to a college presentation that got into other topics not of interest to us.  Here is a shorter presentation and very popular TED Talk with over 15 million views: https://www.ted.com/talks/barry_schwartz_the_paradox_of_choice?language=en   45:10 * In your 2012 book, First Time Investor, you were not in favor of target date funds. What has changed that you now recommend them? 60:40 * Do you really think the S&P is going to beat Berkshire Hathaway over the next 10 years? 57:45 * I know an investment advisor who made 29% a year over the last 2 years and he has all of his own money in the portfolio he wants me to use —individual stocks, not index funds. Is this investment philosophy a fool's errand and am I falling for a siren’s song? 1:06:35
1 hr 21 min
Excess Returns
Excess Returns
Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau
Why Dividend Investing May Be Overrated
Dividend based investing strategies are very popular among investors. The ability to receive regular cash payments from the equities they own and a belief that dividend paying stocks outperform the market are both major drivers of this popularity.  But this preference for dividend stocks often exceeds the reality of the benefits they provide. In this episode, we take a look at the facts behind dividend investing. We look at how dividend-paying stocks perform over time and why the source of their outperformance may be different than many investors think. We also look at alternative ways to accomplish the goals of strategies based around dividends.  ABOUT THE PODCAST Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand (@practicalquant) and Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau), partners at Validea. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing, multi-factor investing, trend following, market valuation and more with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://www.validea.com/excess-returns-podcast FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA https://www.validea.com FOLLOW OUR BLOG https://blog.validea.com FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA CAPITAL https://www.valideacapital.com FOLLOW JACK Twitter: https://twitter.com/practicalquant LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-forehand-8015094 FOLLOW JUSTIN Twitter: https://twitter.com/jjcarbonneau LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jcarbonneau
19 min
Alpha Trader
Alpha Trader
Seeking Alpha
The 2021 market outlook and some new stock picks - Ryan Detrick and Eddy Elfenbein join Alpha Trader
This week’s Alpha Trader podcast features hosts Aaron Task and Stephen Alpher speaking with LPL Financial’s Ryan Detrick and Eddy Elfenbein, editor of the Crossing Wall Street blog and portfolio manager of the AdvisorShares Focused Equity ETF (CWS). Before getting into the outlook, Detrick (who was bullish on stocks at the March bottom) puts last year’s remarkable rally in perspective: The reversal from down more than 30% to up in the teens is unprecedented. While some may be tempted to view things as overdone to the upside, Detrick believes the strength we’ve seen is consistent with the beginnings of a years-long bull market. In addition to the positive technical signs he’s seeing, Detrick reminds that even more fiscal stimulus is likely on the way, and the Fed looks to be on hold at zero for quite some time. Given all that, Detrick does acknowledge some bubbly signs in things like IPOs, cryptocurrencies, and certain stocks. He reminds that his long-term bullishness doesn’t mean there won’t be sizable setbacks along the way, but investors ought to consider those downdrafts to be buying opportunities. Elfenbein’s 25-stock Buy List has consistently topped the S&P 500 over the past 15 years (though it did trail by a handful of basis points in 2020). Each year, Elfenbein discharges five names from the list, and adds five others. Out this year, are Becton, Dickinson (BDX), Eagle Bancorp (EGBN), Globe Life (GL), Hormel Foods (HRL), and RPM International (RPM). Four of the names were notable underperfomers in 2020, so like any good portfolio manager, Elfenbein isn’t shy about cutting losers (and letting his winners run). Maybe more interesting are the additions: Abbott Labs (ABT), HEICO (HEI), Miller Industries (MLR), Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO), and Zoetis (ZTS). Peter Lynch said to look for companies that do something dull, says Elfenbein introducing perhaps everyone to Miller Industries. Based in Ooltewah, Tennessee, Miller makes and sells towing and recovery equipment. The company experienced a Covid-related slowdown in business in 2020, and the stock was similarly punished. Its recovery bounce since has been limited. Elfenbein likes management, likes the business’ “moat,” and likes that exactly zero sell-siders cover the name despite the company’s strong long-term success. There’s plenty more, including a discussion of the 10-year yield rising above 1% for the first time since March, whether the dollar is set up for contrarian bounce higher, and why it’s always a better idea to look for good stocks to own rather than trying to time a bubble. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
44 min
More episodes
Search
Clear search
Close search
Google apps
Main menu