Excess Returns
Excess Returns
Jan 24, 2021
Examining the Arguments Against Value Investing
Play • 18 min

After a decade of struggle, the past six months have finally given value investors reasons for optimism.  Although the recent outperformance pales in comparison to the underperformance over the course of the decade, the fact that performance has improved, coupled with the arguments that a move toward increased fiscal stimulus may lead to a higher inflationary environment that would benefit value, has many value investors, including us, thinking we may have finally reached the turning point.  And market experts have also jumped on the value train, with many predicting a strong year for value. 

But times like these are our most dangerous ones as investors. When we become convinced we are right, it becomes easy to miss the arguments for the other side.  So in this episode we decided to challenge ourselves and to try to make the best case we can against value investing. 

We hope you enjoy the discussion. 

ABOUT THE PODCAST

Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand (@practicalquant) and Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau), partners at Validea. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing, multi-factor investing, trend following, market valuation and more with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors.

SEE LATEST EPISODES

https://www.validea.com/excess-returns-podcast

FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA

https://www.validea.com

FOLLOW OUR BLOG

https://blog.validea.com

FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA CAPITAL

https://www.valideacapital.com

FOLLOW JACK

Twitter: https://twitter.com/practicalquant

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-forehand-8015094

FOLLOW JUSTIN

Twitter: https://twitter.com/jjcarbonneau

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jcarbonneau

The Intelligent Investing Podcast
The Intelligent Investing Podcast
Eric Schleien
#139: Eric Schleien & Norma Belenky Discuss Finance Podcast Week
Join Eric Schleien with his guest Norma Belenky, the Head of Events of Podbean, as they talk about the evolution of media, Podbean’s exciting podcast features, and most especially the upcoming Finance Podcast Week. In this episode, Norma shares her story on getting into podcasting and the facet that sets apart a podcast. She also gives us a brief of the stimulating discussions, guests, and perks we can expect from Podbean’s event that every entrepreneur, investor, and alike will gain from. Stay tuned to their talk to catch a glimpse of Finance Podcast Week’s exciting lineup for everyone. About Podbean: Podbean is a podcast publishing and monetization service, providing free and premium hosting packages for individuals and businesses. Podbean offers a user-friendly interface that integrates publishing, management, syndication, and analysis tools into an easy-to-use podcasting package. Podbean: https://www.podbean.com/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NormaJeanBali/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/normajeanlovesdoodles/ Outline of the episode: * [01:12] What is Podbean, and what does it bring? * [02:32] The upcoming Finance Podcast Week: Guests, Topics, and Program. * [05:26] Elements of media changed by today’s podcasts. * [08:54] The freedom in Podcasts. * [09:41] Live features on Podbean’s Finance Podcast Week and what to expect. * [13:08] The technology, integrations, platforms, and accessibility of today. * [15:39] Ask the hosts, join in the conversation – Podbean Finance Week. * [18:23] Live podcasts + Pre-released episodes of participating podcasters. * [19:23] The dates to save… * [22:03] On getting into podcasts and becoming a part of Podbean. * [25:20] The community, collaborativeness, and openness that is in podcasting. * [26:37] What needs to be a part of podcasting? * [27:32] In the age of information overload, to stand out, you need to have… Resources: * For tickets, got to Finance Podcast Week * More info about the Finance Podcast Week * Podbean Live About Eric Schleien: Over the past decade, Eric has trained thousands of individuals, including board members of public companies as well as several Fortune 500 CEOs. Eric specializes in organizational culture and has become a leading authority on organizational culture in the investment industry. Eric has been investing for 15 years and has been using breakthrough coaching methodologies for over a decade. Eric had the insight to combine proven coaching methodologies with shareholder activism techniques to create an entirely new model for shareholder activism that was more reliable and created greater sustainable results in a rapid period of time. On average, Tribal Leadership produces a 3-5x increase in profits of culturally troubled companies within an average of 24 months or less. Eric currently resides in Philadelphia, PA. Help Out The Podcast If you like The Intelligent Investing Podcast, please consider leaving a rating and review on Apple Podcasts. It takes less than 30 seconds to do and makes a huge difference! You can also join the Facebook page! You can subscribe to the podcast on the following platforms: * Apple Podcasts * Stitcher * TuneIn * Spotify * Podbean * iHeart Radio * YouTube CONTACT ERIC SCHLEIEN Facebook | LinkedIn | Twitter | YouTube | GSCM | Instagram Email: IntelligentInvesting@gmail.com
29 min
InvestED: The Rule #1 Investing Podcast
InvestED: The Rule #1 Investing Podcast
Phil Town & Danielle Town
305- The Role of Shorting in the Market
“There’s nothing evil, per se, about selling things short. Short sellers—the situations in which there have been huge short interests very often—very often have been later revealed to be frauds or semi-frauds.” — Warren Buffett Short selling, or shorting, plays an important role in public markets as it improves prices, rational capital allocation, prevents bubbles, and shines a light on fraud.   If investors think a stock's price is dropping, they can short the stock. They borrow shares and sell them with hopes of buying them back at lower prices. However, stocks can theoretically keep rising, which could cause losses. So the investors that short the stock will either have to put more money up to secure their position or close their positions.   Essentially, short selling exposes which companies' stock prices are too high. In their search for overvalued firms, short-sellers can discover inconsistencies or other questionable practices before the entire market does. Short sellers can almost be regarded as the “watchdogs” of the market.   A recent example of this is the Gamestop event which caused many investors to either gain or lose money, as shorting isn’t ideal for all investors. This is why it’s important to invest with your values—so you can invest with confidence and reduce your risk of making bad investing decisions.    When looking for companies to purchase, always consider the Four Ms: meaning, moat, management, and margin of safety. This is the first step you need to take when building your watchlist of companies you are interested in.   In today’s podcast, Phil and Danielle discuss the important role short sellers play in our market and why it’s important to invest with your values.   Learn about the Four Ms and how they can help you invest in the right businesses at the right time with this FREE guide I've created for you: http://bit.ly/3btAqhM Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
47 min
Let's Talk ETFs
Let's Talk ETFs
Seeking Alpha
From Fad To Sustainable Trend: The ESG Juggernaut Continues To Pick Up Steam
Essentially unheard of a decade ago, investing strategies that screen holdings for compliance to Environmental, Social and Governance values have captured increasing investor interest. Tony Campos, Head of Sustainable Investment, Americas, FTSE Russell, joins the podcast to explain how the process of ESG screening works at FTSE Russell. Not wanting to leave things purely academic, we go under the hood of the two largest ETFs that track FTSE Russell Indexes, Vanguard's ESG U.S. (ESGV) and International (VSGX) ETFs. 2:30 - Meet Tony Campos, Head of Sustainable Investment, Americas, FTSE Russell. 4:00 - What are the origins of ESG investing? 6:45 - The "E" in ESG: What does FTSE Russell look for in companies that have positive environmental characteristics? 10:00 - Is it safe to say that energy companies will not end up in ESG portfolios? 14:30 - The "S" in ESG: What does FTSE Russell look for when building the social part of these indexes? 19:00 - How is it that a company like Facebook (FB) is a top 5 weighting in FTSE Russell Index trackers like the Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF (ESGV)? 24:00 - The "G" in ESG: What's the governance piece even doing here? 29:00 - Tax transparency and corporate tax shelters 32:30 - How do you ensure the accuracy of the ratings data? 36:45 - How do you select and weight index components? 42:30 - Does ESG investing mean exchanging values for performance? 44:30 - On ESG beyond equities: Fixed income and beyond 46:45 - The U.S. is catching up to rest of the world in its adoption of ESG Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
56 min
Top Traders Unplugged
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
129 Systematic Investor Series ft Mark Rzepczynski – March 1st, 2021
We’re joined today by Mark Rzepczynski to discuss the return of the Gamestop short-squeeze, Trend Following in a high interest-rate environment, the future of AI & machine learning in trading models, the case for including short positions in a portfolio, how to spot a commodity ‘super-cycle’, the different factors driving markets higher, why good news can often be bad news for markets, retail investors opening trades on the wrong ticker symbols, and why Trend Following tends to do better on the long-side. You can find Mark’s latest writings here. If you would like to leave us a voicemail to play on the show, you can do so here. Check out our Global Macro series here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com Follow Niels & Mark on Twitter: @TopTradersLive  & @MRzepczynski And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast. Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆 Episode Summary 0:00 - Intro 1:46 - Macro recap from Niels 5:18 - Weekly review of returns 1:04:48 - Q1 & Q2; Plamen: Is there an official organisation that studies & publishes data about the CTA industry? Can you speak about the research process you follow and how you generate trade ideas? 1:10:49 - Performance recap 1:12:25 - Recommended listening or reading this week: Howard Marks' latest memo 1:14:34 - Announcement: Special episode next week featuring both Jerry Parker & Rob Carver Subscribe on:
1 hr 16 min
The Acquirers Podcast
The Acquirers Podcast
Tobias Carlisle
Capital Allocator: Ted Seides on investing in hedge funds ith Tobias on The Acquirers Podcast
Ted Seides, CFA, is the Founder of Capital Allocators LLC, which he created in 2016 to explore best practices in the asset management industry from the perspective of asset owners, asset managers, and other relevant players. He hosts the Capital Allocators podcast, serves as an advisor to allocators and asset managers, helps asset managers convey their story through private podcasts, and educates investors.   Ted's Twitter: https://twitter.com/tseides Ted's Website: https://capitalallocatorspodcast.com/ ABOUT THE PODCAST Hi, I'm Tobias Carlisle. I've launched a new podcast called The Acquirers Podcast. The podcast is about finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast/ SEE OUR FREE DEEP VALUE STOCK SCREENER https://acquirersmultiple.com/screener/ FOLLOW TOBIAS Firm: https://acquirersfunds.com/ Website: https://acquirersmultiple.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Greenbackd LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tobycarlisle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tobiascarlisle Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tobias_carlisle ABOUT TOBIAS CARLISLE Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple®, and Acquirers Funds®. He is best known as the author of the #1 new release in Amazon’s Business and Finance The Acquirer’s Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market, the Amazon best-sellers Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014) (https://amzn.to/2VwvAGF), Quantitative Value: A Practitioner’s Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012) (https://amzn.to/2SDDxrN), and Concentrated Investing: Strategies of the World’s Greatest Concentrated Value Investors (2016) (https://amzn.to/2SEEjVn). He has extensive experience in investment management, business valuation, public comp
50 min
Alpha Trader
Alpha Trader
Seeking Alpha
Digital transformation comes to energy, autos, and currency - Jon Markman and Greg King join Alpha Trader (Podcast)
This week’s Alpha Trader podcast features hosts Aaron Task and Stephen Alpher speaking with Jon Markman, president and founder of Markman Capital, and Greg King, CEO and founder of Osprey Funds. Markman (who previously appeared on Alpha Trader in October) continues to believe the Fed ignited what’s going to be a decade-long bull run in stocks with their actions in response to the Covid crisis last year. With the Fed continuing to provide plenty of liquidity to the system, he’s targeting 92K for the Dow (DJI) in the next decade, and 34K on the Nasdaq (COMP). Turning to individual names/sectors, Markman is still spying the opportunity in digital transformation, but this time with a twist - it’s old-school energy and auto companies whose business models are changing from nuts and bolts to 0s and 1s. Shareholders of names like Schlumberger (SLB), Baker Hughes (BKR), General Motors (GM), Ford (F), and Volkswagen ([[VLKAF]], [[VWAGY]]) are set to benefit in a big way. And the massive investment the auto players are making into EVs means a re-rating not just for them, but suppliers like Magna International (MGA), NXP Semiconductor (NXPI), and Analog Devices (ADI). Markman’s got plenty more digital transformation ideas, including a speculative play on cryptocurrencies, and that’s VPC Impact Acquisition (VIH), a SPAC that earlier this year inked a deal to take digital asset marketplace Bakkt Holdings public. Next up is Greg King, whose Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OBTC) recently launched as a lower-cost competitor to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). A longtime investor in bitcoin (BTC-USD), King isn’t put off by the wild volatility (including a plunge from $53K to $49K right about the time we were speaking). He notes that whenever bitcoin pierces a previous all-time high (as it did late last year by finally climbing past $20K), the average subsequent return is 900% - this bull move has plenty more to run. “Not your key, not your coins,” is something the hodlers like to say, but King says we all have limitations - not everyone is in a position to start up an account with an online exchange and possibly even custody their own bitcoin. A trust such as Osprey offers a fee of just 0.49%, is something that can be purchased inside an existing brokerage or retirement account, and safety isn’t an issue as all the Trust’s coins are held in custody by Fidelity. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
54 min
Financial Education Podcast
Financial Education Podcast
Financial Education
The Market Crash - How Bad It Will Get
Application form to apply & try and get in my Private Stock Group/Financial Fortress   https://financialeducationjeremy.com/19 Well guys today we are going to talk about the market crash.  How bad will a stock market crash get.  I've been getting a lot of questions from people in my DMS and in the private stock group about the stock market crash.  People asking about what they should do.  So today I will talk about what exactly to do in the stock market crash.   Also will talk to you about what to expect in this market crash and if its going to get worse or not.  Remember to mentally be prepared yourself to red and see your stocks drop and do not panic sell just like you shouldn't panic buy.  Stick to your fundamentals of long term investing in any stock market crash.  Always buy the dip!!  So hope you enjoy this video! I hope to help any viewers that are in full panic mode because their accounts are going down.  Like always, when buying a stock always do your own research in the stock especially during a stock market crash.  What are you doing during this stock market crash?  Are you buying heavy or have you sold out of your positions?  Also let me know if there is a stock to buy now or a stock to watch now.  Want to join our free STOCKHUB discord chat? Here is the link   https://discord.gg/SVWd2qq  This is where you can chat for free with other investors in the stock market about individual stocks or things going on in the market. Enjoy! Want to see the stock I own? I will show you them all here  https://jeremystockportfolio.com/current How To Make Your First $100,000 in the Stock Market  https://financialeducationjeremy.com/portfolio-case-study?utm_campaign=1&utm_term=2&utm_medium=null&utm_content=19&utm_source=null   *My Instagram is : FinancialEducationJeremy Financial Education This is a Jeremy Lefebvre Production Created by Jeremy Lefebvre  LMK if you know any stocks to buy now or stocks to watch!
23 min
The Razor's Edge
The Razor's Edge
Shortman Studios
Talking The Twitter Trade, Analyst Day, And The Big Picture
It's been a wild and, finally, fun ride for Twitter over the past 11 months. While everything feels like smooth sailing now for bulls, even as of our last episode on the stock post ex-President Trump ban in January, things weren't so clear. Despite that, the set-up was good enough for Akram's Razor to open an options trade into the earnings call (and for Daniel Shvartsman to open a small long position, which is a separate story). We break down what happened with Twitter but also more of the mechanics of the options trade; why that trade, why Q4 and not Q3, whether to hold it into the call itself, and what's left for Analyst Day this week. All of this happens within the context of the broader macro environment and what growth investors might start extrapolating as we (fingers crossed!) round our way out of the full COVID environment this year. So we bring a dollop of that context into the discussion as well. Topics Covered * 4:00 minute mark - How does event-driven trading of options fit into a broader portfolio strategy? * 12:00 - Reviewing our record on Twitter and how/when Akram's views flipped over 2020 - the importance of narrative shifts, product adoption/development, having a variant view, and understanding the other side of the trade * 22:30 - Twitter's setup going into the start of 2021 * 28:45 - Why not own the biggest growth stocks instead of a Twitter? * 34:30 - Market participants' tendency to extrapolate in the short-term, and the misuse of 'compounding' * 40:00 - Defining mania * 48:00 - The strum and drang around Twitter at the beginning of 2021 and the March options trade * 1:04:00 - The Q4 reaction and what's left for the analyst day * 1:11:00 - Twitter's differentiation in the subscription space * 1:22:00 - The importance of understanding the process * 1:27:00 - Peak screen time
1 hr 42 min
Invest Like a Boss
Invest Like a Boss
Sam Marks & Johnny FD
172: Invest in Farmland with FarmTogether CEO Artem Milinchuk
Artem has over 11 years of finance experience in food, agriculture, and farmland. Prior to founding FarmTogether, Artem was employee #1 and CFO/VP of Operations at Full Harvest Technologies, a now post-Series A B2B platform for buying and selling produce. He previously worked at Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan, Sprott Resource Holdings, E&Y and PwC. Artem holds an MBA from The Wharton School, and a BA and MA in Economics from the Higher School of Economics. Listen to ILAB 172 on iTunes here or subscribe on your favorite podcast app. Where we are: * Johnny FD – Sri Lanka / IG @johnnyfdk * Sam Marks – Thailand / IG @imsammarks * Derek Spartz - Venice / IG @DerekRadio Sponsor: * FarmTogether * Support Invest Like a Boss: Join our Patreon Discussed: * FarmTogether Like these investments? Try them with these special ILAB links: * ArtofFX – Start with just a $10,000 account (reduced from $25,000) * Fundrise – Start with only $1,000 into their REIT funds (non-accredited investors OK) * Betterment – Get up to 1 year managed free * Wealthfront – Get your first $15,000 managed free * PeerStreet – Get a 1% yield bump on your first loan *Johnny and Sam use all of the above services personally. Time Stamps: * 07:04 – What got you involved in farmland investing? * 09:22 – How does it differ to commercial and residential real estate? * 11:25 – How does it compare to traditional investing? * 14:15 – Does technology help in the challenge of making more food with less land? * 16:39 – Why are so few investors in this asset? * 20:38 – How can farmland help with an expected inflation in the economy? * 21:38 – With the population moving out of the city, is this affecting the availability of farmland? * 24:20 – How do you qualify to invest in FarmTogether? * 28:23 – What is someone actually buying when investing? * 30:54 – How are returns generated? * 32:34 – Which is the best crop to invest in? * 34:27 – Do the commodities vary in price? * 36:11 – Can you get out of the deal early? * 36:59 – How does FarmTogether profit from these deals? * 37:45 – Can you explain the option of sole proprietorship? * 38:41 – Are there any bonuses for investors? * 40:23 – What are some really good sources of education on farmland and farming? * 42:26 – Johnny and Derek review If you enjoyed this episode, do us a favor and share it! Also if you haven’t already, please take a minute to leave us a 5-star review on iTunes and claim your bonus here! Copyright 2021. All rights reserved. Read our disclaimer here.
58 min
More episodes
Search
Clear search
Close search
Google apps
Main menu