Real Conversations
Real Conversations
Nov 27, 2020
Sector Spotlight: The Outlook for Industrials Stocks
Play • 53 min

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**This webcast originally aired on November 19, 2020**

Join Hedgeye Industrials analyst Jay Van Sciver for a deep-dive, under-the-hood look at Industrials stocks, including a sneak peek at his Best Idea long and short list. CEO Keith McCullough joins Jay to provide additional "Macro Overlay" to the Industrials stock outlook.

Demography Unplugged with Neil Howe
Demography Unplugged with Neil Howe
Hedgeye Risk Management
Georgia Elections, Storming the Capitol, and EU-China Agreement
*In this latest issue of my weekly podcast, we discuss the Georgia elections. *Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossof beat Republican incumbents Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue. Both Warnock and Ossof won by over 0.5%, avoiding an automatic recount. Ultimately this is good news for markets. While traditional wisdom says markets want a divided Congress, the recent chaos has led them to hope for a united government. *Pro-Trump protesters storm the Capital Building.* Despite the protesters' wishes, the siege did nothing to change the outcome of the joint session of Congress. Joe Biden's win was officerly certified. In the end, this was a major embarrassment for the GOP leadership. There is a mounting prospect of a fatal splintering of GOP support, with Trump triggering a permanent "Bull Moose" split.  *Israel's coalition collapses. *After failing to pass a budget on Dec. 22, Netanyahu and Gantz's coalition government was dissolved. This will trigger new national elections in late March. All eyes are on Gideon Sa'ar, a popular former cabinet minister, who recently left the Likud party to start the New Hope party. If victorious, Sa'ar is predicted to create a standard right-wing coalition.  *EU and China sign the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment. *The new agreement allows EU companies to invest in China in a greater capacity and locks in existing market access to Europe. The countries will not fully finalize the deal for another year. The incoming Biden administration has already signaled they are uneasy with the agreement and want to slow down its implementation. *Public opinion increasingly supports raising the minimum wage. *In Florida, a $15 minimum wage initiative was recently approved by 61% of the voters, adding to a growing list of successful efforts to raise the minimum wage at state and local levels around the country. ********** The content featured here is a small part of Hedgeye’s *Demography Unplugged*, a game-changing market intelligence product brought to you by historian, demographer and best-selling author Neil Howe. Visit us to find out more and subscribe.
1 hr 12 min
Resolve's Gestalt University
Resolve's Gestalt University
ReSolve Asset Management
ReSolve Riffs with Alex Chalekian on What It Takes to Build a World-class Wealth Management Business
This is “ReSolve’s Riffs” – live on YouTube every Friday afternoon to debate the most relevant investment topics of the day. Like virtually all segments of the investment industry, the financial advisory business has undergone significant shifts over the past two decades. Gone are the days where a pasteurized, assembly-line approach with catchy branding is enough for a thriving enterprise. In the digital age, investors – like everyone else – want authenticity. They seek a personal touch. They yearn for a real connection. Alex Chalekian (founder and CEO of Lake Avenue Financial) lives by these principles. In our conversation, we explored: * His journey: from studying to become an accountant, to investment entrepreneur * Allowing others to learn from your mistakes and trying to extricate one’s ego * Understanding the unique skill set you and your team members bring to the table * The importance of proper communication: staying true to your message while navigating the regulatory landscape * The appropriate digital forums and the difference between them * Building and giving back to your community Alex also shared some of the investment themes and new projects his team is excited about, and there was even time for a brief discussion on the hottest investment topic of the day – Bitcoin and the world of crypto. Thank you for watching and listening. See you next week.
1 hr 28 min
Alpha Exchange
Alpha Exchange
Dean Curnutt
Samantha McLemore, Founder and Managing Member, Patient Capital Management
Mentored at Legg Mason under the tutelage of legendary investor Bill Miller, Samantha McLemore is a student of finding value in corporate equities. Now the founder and managing member of Patient Capital Management, Samantha shares her perspectives developed over two decades and through several cycles of the value factor. Our conversation is an exploration of Samantha’s framework, keenly focused on finding opportunity based on valuation and with a long horizon in mind. In Samantha’s world, embracing out of favor securities allows capital to be put work when and where others are reluctant to and sets the stage for achieving long term excess returns. In this context, she recounts her purchase of UBER during the early days of the 2020 lockdown, seeing potentially strong upside relative to what she deemed as manageable downside risk. We talk more broadly about the underperformance of the value factor in recent years as Samantha notes that the high growth segments of the market are in demand in an environment where investors have become less sensitive to valuation. For her, some of these high flying stock prices warrant caution, especially as a vaccine provides the potential that business as we once knew it becomes more the norm rather than the exception. And in this context, Samantha and her team are looking closely at the cruise line sector, again embracing disruption and volatility in pursuit of long term alpha. I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my discussion with Samantha McLemore.
52 min
The Derivative
The Derivative
RCM Alternatives
Gold, Gas, and Global Inflation with Diego Parrilla of Quadriga Asset Managers
2020 was ruled by global macro events – are we looking at the same fate in 2021? Our guest today can talk not only global macro, but also volatility, bond yields, correlation, oil, metals and more. To ring in the new year we’re joined by Diego Parrilla, Managing Partner at Quadriga Asset Managers and Author of "The Energy World is Flat" and "The Anti-Bubbles.” Diego isn’t just a global macro manager, and in today’s episode we’ll be talking about Spain, quoting complex options, the switch from gas to renewable energy, Beckenbauer bonds, the double digital, inflation on inflation, what’s happening at Quadriga, soccer, becoming an author, sometimes it’s better to be vanilla, privatized inflation, and what’re we going to do with gold? Chapters: 00:00-02:24=Intro 02:25-17:48=Spain & Soccer 17:49-32:33=The Energy World is Flat 32:34-01:04:17=Inflation-on-Inflation vs Privatized Inflation 01:04:18-01:36:56=What’s Happening at Quadriga 01:36:57-01:39:15=Favorites Follow along with Diego on Twitter & LinkedIn and check out Quadriga on their website. And last but not least, don't forget to subscribe to The Derivative, and follow us on Twitter, or LinkedIn, and Facebook, and sign-up for our blog digest. Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visit www.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
1 hr 39 min
The Acquirers Podcast
The Acquirers Podcast
Tobias Carlisle
Value: After Hours S03 E1 GMO's Last Dance, Challenger "O" Ring and Internet-Scale Businesses
Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, Bill Brewster and Jake Taylor. See our latest episodes at https://acquirersmultiple.com/  Jake's offer: http://farnam-street.com/vah Donate to the FinTwit Value vs Growth War here (it's for a good cause--The American Foundation for Suicide Prevention): https://www.gofundme.com/f/fintwit-war-value-vs-growth About Jake: Jake is a partner at Farnam Street. Jake's website: http://farnam-street.com/vah Jake's podcast: https://twitter.com/5_GQs Jake's Twitter: https://twitter.com/farnamjake1 Jake's book: The Rebel Allocator https://amzn.to/2sgip3l About Bill: Bill runs Sullimar Capital Group, a family investment firm. Bill's website: https://sullimarcapital.group/ Bill's Twitter: @BillBrewsterSCG ABOUT THE PODCAST Hi, I'm Tobias Carlisle. I launched The Acquirers Podcast to discuss the process of finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast/ SEE OUR FREE DEEP VALUE STOCK SCREENER https://acquirersmultiple.com/screener/ FOLLOW TOBIAS Website: https://acquirersmultiple.com/ Firm: https://acquirersfunds.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Greenbackd LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tobycarlisle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tobiascarlisle Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tobias_carlisle ABOUT TOBIAS CARLISLE Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple®, and Acquirers Funds®. He is best known as the author of the #1 new release in Amazon’s Business and Finance The Acquirer’s Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market, the Amazon best-sellers Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014) (https://amzn.to/2VwvAGF), Quantitative Value: A Practitioner’s Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012) (https://amzn.to/2SDDxrN), and Concentrated Investing: Strategies of the World’s Greatest Concentrated Value Investors (2016) (https://amzn.to/2SEEjVn). He has extensive experience in investment management, business valuation, public company corporate governance, and corporate law. Prior to founding the forerunner to Acquirers Funds in 2010, Tobias was an analyst at an activist hedge fund, general counsel of a company listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, and a corporate advisory lawyer. As a lawyer specializing in mergers and acquisitions he has advised on transactions across a variety of industries in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Australia, Singapore, Bermuda, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, and Guam.
1 hr 3 min
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