#34: Michael Green On Detecting The Greatest Value In Markets Today
1 hr 3 min
Mike Green has been in the right place at the right time for his entire investment career and not just by way of good fortune. Mike has an uncanny knack for finding value in the markets. After jumping into the small cap value game in 1999 and taking advantage of one of the best runs for value as a factor in history he moved on to explore opportunities in hedging via derivatives in 2006, just prior to the Great Financial Crisis. Shortly thereafter, massive mispricings in the option market driven by the sudden popularity of tail hedging strategies gave him a new source for profit. Then, well prior to the volmageddon episode of early-2018, he became aware of the fragility created by the increasingly crowded short volatility trade and designed a strategy to profit from its demise. As his track record demonstrates, Mike is one of the most insightful market detectives in the world and in this conversation he reveals where he finds the greatest value in the markets today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
The Contrarian Investor Podcast
Nathaniel E. Baker
How Bubbles and False Narratives Made Financial Markets, with Jamie Catherwood, Author of InvestorAmnesia.com
Become a premium subscriber and get this podcast a day or more before the general public! No ads or announcements either! Contrarian.Supercast.Tech   With the Dow Industrial Average hitting 30,000 on the day of this recording, revisiting historical booms and busts feels particularly timely. Jamie Catherwood, the author of InvestorAmnesia.com and a self-proclaimed financial history nerd, is a perfect guide to this discussion. We discuss booms in treasure hunting, bicycles, railroads, breweries, and of course tulips (which it turns out was greatly exaggerated. The guest debunks this). Content Segments (Spotify users can click on time stamp to link to the section directly) * What epoch in financial history is perhaps most apt in light of today's period? (3:38); * How long do these cycles typically last? (12:40); * Bubbles in transportation technology: bicycles, railroads (twice), now electrical vehicles (16:25); * "Tulip mania," often cited as the "mother of all financial bubbles" was in reality nowhere near as crazy as commonly believed (18:40 ); * What are common elements that prick bubbles? (27:08); * The role of central banks and the money supply in the bursting of bubbles (29:59); * Background on the guest (40:36); * How he started his website on financial bubble history (45:44) * Contrarian investors through history (51:59); * Epilogue: bonus content for supporters of Tottenham Hotspur only (57:05). More Information on the Guest * Website: InvestorAmnesia.com * Twitter: @InvestorAmnesia * Financial History Course (premium subscribers get 10% off the price).
1 hr 1 min
Alpha Exchange
Alpha Exchange
Dean Curnutt
Troy Dixon, Founder and CIO, Hollis Park Partners
Cutting his teeth on the acclaimed mortgage trading desk at Salomon Brothers in the 90’s, Troy Dixon gained an early appreciation for the speed and degree to which market liquidity can turn. Now the CIO of Hollis Park Partners, a firm he founded in 2013, Troy shares the perspectives gathered in managing complex trading risk over more than two decades in markets. We talk about his time at Deutsche Bank, where he ran the RMBS trading unit, and the intense pressure to compete in the pre-crisis period for profitability in each aspect of the mortgage lifecycle. Contemplating the asset price wreckage in the aftermath of the housing crash, Troy recounts the challenges in balancing the competing interests of providing market making services for the firm’s client base while risk managing a volatile book of prop exposures. Next, we discuss Troy’s founding of Hollis Park and the path that he has sought to provide for other professionals of color in the financial industry. In thinking back on the heavy lift he undertook, Troy said, “I was naive about a lot of things, but the core thesis of it was to lay the framework for people of color to follow suit in an industry that had created a plethora of wealth for people that don’t look like me.” A firm engaged in finding value in MBS and a variety of structured products, Hollis Park capitalizes on securities that have different prepayment speeds. No conversation with a fixed income expert would be complete without an assessment of Central Banks. And on the Fed, Troy has much to say. Calling low interest rates an addictive drug, Troy sees no obvious path for the Fed to disengage from markets, expecting ongoing volatility linked to this codependency. Please enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Troy Dixon.
46 min
The Derivative
The Derivative
RCM Alternatives
Overheard at a Vol Conference, breaking down EQD Global 2020
One of the leading volatility trading and derivatives investing events of the year wrapped up last month and we have lots of thoughts. From new vol dispersion products to  portfolio design, tail-risk management and structural vol; if it’s been a hot topic in 2020 – Global EQD covered it. We’re joined by Jim Carroll, Senior Vice President at Toroso Advisors and John Cummings, Director of Research at RCM Alternatives. There were sessions we agreed with, opinions from some of our favorite finfluencers,  and even some sessions that straight up made us scratch our head. So what was talked about by the likes of Benn Eifert, Chris Cole, Vineer Bhansali, PIMCO, the CBOE, and more?  Take a listen and find out. Chapters: 00:00-02:45 = Intro 02:46-14:21 = Quick Takeaways that Caught Attention 14:22-29:54 = Learning 2020s Lessons / Tail Hedge Protection 29:55-35:20 = Largest Risks for 2021 / What Possible Grenades could be Coming? 35:21-59:56 = Vol Strategies in a Mad World Follow along with Jim (@vixologist) & John (@cummingsjohnb) on Twitter, and make sure to keep up with the team at EQDerivatives (@EQDerivatives) so you don’t miss their next great event. Here’s the event page over at EQD = https://eqderivatives.com/events/global-eqd-2020 And last but not least, don't forget to subscribe to The Derivative, and follow us on Twitter, or LinkedIn, and Facebook, and sign-up for our blog digest. Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visit www.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
1 hr
The Acquirers Podcast
The Acquirers Podcast
Tobias Carlisle
Smart Money: Steve Clapham on forensic accounting for hedge funds with Tobias Carlisle on The Acquiers Podcast
Stephen Clapham, the forensic accounting expert and founder of Behind the Balance Sheet, on his new book The Smart Money Method: How to pick stocks like a hedge fund pro  Stephen Clapham runs Behind the Balance Sheet https://www.behindthebalancesheet.com/  Stephen's Twitter account: https://twitter.com/steveclapham ABOUT THE PODCAST Hi, I'm Tobias Carlisle. I've launched a new podcast called The Acquirers Podcast. The podcast is about finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast/ SEE OUR FREE DEEP VALUE STOCK SCREENER https://acquirersmultiple.com/screener/ FOLLOW TOBIAS Firm: https://acquirersfunds.com/ Website: https://acquirersmultiple.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Greenbackd LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tobycarlisle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tobiascarlisle Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tobias_carlisle ABOUT TOBIAS CARLISLE Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple®, and Acquirers Funds®. He is best known as the author of the #1 new release in Amazon’s Business and Finance The Acquirer’s Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market, the Amazon best-sellers Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014) (https://amzn.to/2VwvAGF), Quantitative Value: A Practitioner’s Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012) (https://amzn.to/2SDDxrN), and Concentrated Investing: Strategies of the World’s Greatest Concentrated Value Investors (2016) (https://amzn.to/2SEEjVn). He has extensive experience in investment management, business valuation, public comp
54 min
Top Traders Unplugged
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
116 The Systematic Investor Series – November 29th, 2020
In today’s episode, we discuss how to effectively manage your emotional stability regardless of trading performance, the true value of Bitcoin and the various catalysts behind its price movements, the importance of being able to get back into a trade you may have recently been stopped out of, managing leverage and volatility in a portfolio, how to approach extreme anomalies in historical price data, and much more. Thanks to Gene for submitting your voicemail to the show.  If any listeners would like to leave a message, you can do so here. Check out our Global Macro series here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. IT's TRUE 👀 - most CIO's read 50+ books each year - get your copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book "The Many Flavors of Trend Following" here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com Follow Niels & Moritz on Twitter: @TopTradersLive & @MoritzSeibert And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest rating & review on iTunes so more people can discover the podcast. Top Traders Unplugged wins award for ‘Best Trading Podcast’ and features among the ‘Top 20 Best Investing Podcasts in 2020’ by The Investors Podcast 🏆 Episode Summary 0:00 - Intro 1:33 - Macro recap from Niels 3:17 - Weekly review of returns 8:13 - Q1, via voicemail, from Gene in New Zealand: Is it ok to ignore perceived anomalies & outdated occurrences in historical data? 20:49 - Q2; Veyana: If I get whipsawed out of a trade and it sets up again immediately after, should I take the trade again? 25:26 - Q3; Terrance: How do I control the leverage of my portfolio when utilising volatility parity? 32:00 - Q4; Sebastien: How do you separate your self-worth from your net worth? 39:49 - Performance recap 41:10 - Recommended podcast listening this week: The Vinklevoss Twins on the What Bitcoin Did Podcast & Robert Breedlove on the Bitcoin Fundamentals Podcast (Investors Podcast Network) Subscribe on:
1 hr 1 min
Demography Unplugged with Neil Howe
Demography Unplugged with Neil Howe
Hedgeye Risk Management
Vaccines, Republican Women, and New Asia Trade Deal
*In this latest issue of my weekly podcast, we discuss the race for a vaccine. *Both Pfizer and Moderna announced that preliminary data show that their vaccines are over 90% effective. Yet despite the good news, there are still some major hurdles for these vaccines. 1. They have to be stored at sub-zero temperatures. 2. There is deep public distrust in their safety. 3. There hasn't been time to study their long-term effects (ADE, cross-reactivity, immunity duration, etc.). *Is political polling dead?* Pre-election day polls showed Democrats rolling easily into the White House, regaining the Senate, and expanding their majority in the House. While pollsters had the popular vote for the presidency within the margin of error, they failed to predict Senate and House outcomes. They seem to have missed the "shy" Republican voter, who split their ticket. *Republican women expand their numbers. *At least 15 new Republican women were elected to Congress this year, a new record for the party. With all the Republican female incumbents holding their seats so far, GOP women are set to more than double their ranks in the House.  *Between 2019 and 2020, the number of retired Boomers increased by 3.2 million.* Until now, the annual average for this figure has been 2 million. Probable culprit: the pandemic, which is persuading many lower-earning Boomers to call it quits.  *15 Asian countries sign a new trade deal. *Last Sunday, 15 nations signed the RECP, which streamlines country of origin laws. It is the first trade agreement between China, South Korea, and Japan. Noticeably, India is not in the deal. Prime Minister Modi claimed India would be flooded with "cheap" Chinese goods if they took part. *Hungary and Poland stall EU budget and recovery bill.* On Monday, diplomats from Hungary and Poland announced they would veto the long awaited-recovery bill. Their objection stems from a "values" clause which ties grants to having free and democratic institutions.  ********** The content featured here is a small part of Hedgeye’s *Demography Unplugged*, a game-changing market intelligence product brought to you by historian, demographer and best-selling author Neil Howe. Visit us to find out more and subscribe.
1 hr 3 min
Value Hive Podcast
Value Hive Podcast
Brandon Beylo
How To Find Life-Changing Stocks w/ @FromValue (Episode 53)
This episode is brought to you by TIKR. Join the free beta today at TIKR.com/hive. They're constantly releasing new updates that make the platform better including a new Business Owner Mode that hides share count, market cap and enterprise value. I couldn't be more excited to partner with TIKR. Kris (@FromValue on Twitter) is the author of From Value To Growth premium research service on Seeking Alpha. Kris has grown his audience to >21K followers on Twitter and Seeking Alpha each. Kris' job is simple: he tries to find stocks that he can own for the next 10-20 years. Then he wants to hold them for the long-term. Some of his most recent winners include Shopify (up >1,000%), Livongo (up >400%) and Okta (up >200%).  Here's Kris' investment thesis from his Seeking Alpha page: "That means that I look for stocks that have either growth or value or combine the two. It has been proven that the group of dividend initiators and fastest dividend growers outperforms the markets by far in the long run. So I select stocks from this group, although I also select high growth non-dividend payers that I believe will grow out to great multibaggers." I loved this conversation as it got to the heart of why we invest: to create life-changing wealth through high risk-adjusted compound returns. Here's the time-stamp:  * [0:00] Who is Kris? * [10:00] Kris’ Investing Style * [14:00] Potential Multi baggers * [18:00] Portfolio Management * [22:00] Kris’ Exclusive Metrics * [30:00] Is Value Investing Market Timing? * [35:00]  How to Cope with Drawdowns? * [44:00] Multi Baggers can Change Lives * [50:00] Conviction in your Investments * [56:00] Beginners Mistakes * [59:00] More from Kris and Closing Questions If you liked this conversation, check out some more @FromValue resources:  * FromValue Twitter * From Growth To Value Seeking Alpha
1 hr 6 min
Alpha Trader
Alpha Trader
Seeking Alpha
Investment choices of the pros - author Brian Portnoy joins Alpha Trader
This week's Alpha Trader podcast features hosts Aaron Task and Stephen Alpher talking with Brian Portnoy, the founder of Shaping Wealth, and co-editor with Josh Brown of the new book, How I Invest My Money. Prior to speaking with Portnoy, the hosts discuss an historic month for equity markets - the S&P posting its best November ever, the Dow posting its best month since 1987, and the Russell 2000 outperforming them both. They remind that while the headlines about growing Covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, and related shutdowns look grim, markets look ahead and - thanks to what appears to be outstanding news on vaccines - are pricing in a better world six-twelve months down the road. And don't forget the election. Markets really appear to be liking the prospects for divided government and - contrary to some pre-election worries - Biden's early cabinet picks show someone who is set on governing roughly from the center. How I Invest My Money explores the investment choices of 25 prominent finance players. The common theme across this spectrum of experts: There is none, says Portnoy, other than the maxim that personal finance is more personal than finance. Even in this age of quantification and robo-advisors, says Portnoy, everyone has different goals they're optimizing, meaning investment choices will remain personal. Adding it up, nearly no one's portfolio is necessarily going to fit into the perfect efficient frontier, and there's nothing wrong with that. So many folks beat themselves up over not being fully invested in the kind of bull market we've seen over the past several months, but Portnoy reminds that we tend to undervalue the optionality and freedom of holding cash. That's not just Portnoy's belief but - in a book of 25 different professionals talking about how they invest their money - the beauty of cash is a common theme. Listen to or subscribe to Alpha Trader on these podcast platforms: Apple Podcasts Spotify Google Play Stitcher Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
41 min
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